Scenario Planning Starter Tool for Health Care Strategists
Scenario planning helps hospitals and health systems explore multiple plausible futures, not predictions but structured “what if” stories. This starter tool walks teams through a simple four-step process to scan trends, build contrasting scenarios, and identify strategies that hold up across uncertainty.
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Scan the environment (PESTLEH)
Capture key drivers of change across Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Legal, Environmental, and Health factors.
Build 3 to 4 contrasting futures
Draft preferred, undesired, standard, and wildcard scenarios to test assumptions and expand strategic thinking.
Backcast to resilient actions
Work backward from each scenario to identify decisions, strengths, partnerships, and early warning signals to monitor.